Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 22

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Oriente Petrolero		Independiente Petroleros

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.35	5.15	Watch
	1.52	4.55	5.29
	1.96	3.12	4.20	Watch
	1.49	4.3	5.58	Watch
	1.51	4.45	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.49)	4.13 ↓ (4.5)	5.14 ↓ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriente Petrolero
59.3%

Draw
22.6%

Independiente Petroleros
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

20.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

19%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Arauz J. (G) 36. Diez R. 3. Alvarez S. 28. Bonilla M. 44. Quinteros J. 11. Chala W. 40. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 27. Abastoflor C. 30. Berdecio J. 70. Amaral R. 91. Alvarez G. (C)	23. Arauz E. (G) 68. Morales D. 2. Avila R. 3. Soleto W. 24. Vedia C. 27. Navarro D. 16. Martinez Y. 7. Cardozo R. 10. Thomaz (C) 40. Chajtur M. 9. Villalba D.
Substitutes
21. Anagua Suruby R. S. 53. Bailaba A. A. C. 13. Bernal J. (G) 18. Cabrera D. 12. Cardenas L. (G) 26. Cuellar V. 87. Melean A. 14. Nacif Joffre R. 10. Salvatierra Flores K. F. 50. Tomianovic M. 19. Vaca H. 52. Velasco M.	94. Aguilera D. 12. Cardozo H. 39. Grass P. 29. Medina A. 72. Patzi A. 6. Rivera A. 17. Rivera E. 93. Willie
Coaches
Pena A. G.	HInojosa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Abastoflor C. ⚽, Amaral R. (A),
5', 1 - 1, Chajtur M. ⚽, Cardozo R. (A),
11', Morales D. 🟨,
45+3', Chala W. ↓, Vaca H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Alvarez G. 🟨,
57', Diez R. ↓, Velasco M. ↑,
58', Berdecio J. ↓, Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↑,
58', Chajtur M. ↓, Willie ↑,
73', Amaral R. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
73', Bonilla M. ↓, Melean A. ↑,
79', Navarro D. ↓, Rivera A. ↑,
82', Willie 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+7', Alvarez G. (Pen),
90+7', 2 - 1, Alvarez G. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 1.

Oriente Petrolero has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ind Petroleros is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Oriente Petrolero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Oriente Petrolero is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Oriente Petrolero won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.09.25	Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí	2:2 ✺
16.09.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Oriente Petrolero	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Oriente Petrolero - Real Oruro	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.25	Blooming - Oriente Petrolero	4:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.08.25	Always Ready - Oriente Petrolero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWLL
- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.09.25	Independiente Petroleros - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4:2 ✺
15.09.25	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
06.09.25	Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros	0:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.08.25	Real Oruro - Independiente Petroleros	3:4 ✺
20.08.25	Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.07.25	Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero	1:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
10.05.25	Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero	5:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.04.25	Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros	2:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.11.24	Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros	1:1
21.05.24	Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero	3:2
24.07.23	Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero	2:0
18.02.23	Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros	2:0

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