Match Info

Copa Federacion - Final

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)


	Ourense CF		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4.15
	1.88	2.84	4.51
	1.90	3.50	3.70	Watch
	1.9	3.63	3.73
	1.66	3.65	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.7)	3.36 ↓ (3.6)	4.14 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
50.4%

Draw
27.4%

Orihuela
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.8%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

25.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-3%)

Ourense CF - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Bouzaig A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, Bouzaig A. ⚽,
85', 3 - 0, Bouzaig A. ⚽,

Preview

Ourense CF is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Orihuela has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ourense CF is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.25	Ourense CF - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Oviedo	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Cacereño - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
15.10.25	Atlètic Lleida - Ourense CF	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTLW
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Orihuela	2:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Orihuela - Levante	3:4 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.25	Orihuela - Quintanar del Rey	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Orihuela - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
15.10.25	Deportivo Toledo - Orihuela	2:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLW

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