Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Orihuela		Quintanar del Rey

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	3.8
	2.05	2.88	3.65
	2.15	2.83	3.94
	2.25	2.92	3.28	Watch
	1.99	3.09	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.21)	2.92 ↑ (2.88)	3.72 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
43.9%

Draw
31.4%

Quintanar del Rey
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.9%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Quintanar del Rey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quintanar del Rey than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Orihuela - Quintanar del Rey Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Orihuela (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Orihuela (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Chabo ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Solsona J. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Solsona J. ⚽,
72', 3 - 1, Solano R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Orihuela has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Quintanar del Rey is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Orihuela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Orihuela could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.10.25	Orihuela - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
15.10.25	Deportivo Toledo - Orihuela	2:4 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Navalcarnero - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Orihuela - Tenerife B	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
01.10.25	Minera - Orihuela	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTLW
- CD Quintanar del Rey
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Alcalá - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Coria	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Navalcarnero - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Quintanar del Rey - Socuéllamos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLW

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