Match Info

Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 1d 4h 📅 Remind Me


	Santos Laguna		Necaxa

	1	X	2
	1.81	4.1	3.7	Watch
	1.87	3.90	3.50
	1.82	3.85	3.7	Watch
	1.87	4.09	3.97
	1.81	4.09	3.82	Watch
	1.77	3.95	3.85
	1.78	3.98	3.75	Watch
	1.81	4.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	4.01 ↑ (3.97)	3.75 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
51.6%

Draw
23.4%

Necaxa
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.5%

23.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

22.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Santos Laguna - Necaxa Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos Laguna will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 17th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.

Santos Laguna is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Necaxa is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Necaxa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Santos Laguna for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Santos Laguna in today's match, at odds of 1.81.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Santos Laguna has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:38 (averaging 1.6:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Santos Laguna against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 21:21 goals (averaging 2.1:2.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Santos Laguna	14	6	1	7	20:20	0	19
17	Necaxa	14	2	4	8	16:27	-11	10

Last Results with these Odds

Necaxa - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 26.01%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX
25.10.26	Tijuana - Santos Laguna	4:1 ✺
21.10.26	Santos Laguna - UNAM	2:0 ✺
17.10.26	Santos Laguna - Querétaro	5:0 ✺
11.10.26	Atlético San Luis - Santos Laguna	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Santos Laguna - Pachuca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LWWWW
- Club Necaxa
Mexican Liga MX
23.10.26	Necaxa - Juárez	1:1 ✺
20.10.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Necaxa	1:0 ✺
16.10.26	Necaxa - Atlas	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Pachuca - Necaxa	3:3 ✺
27.09.26	Necaxa - Club América	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
10.01.26	Santos Laguna - Necaxa	1:3
31.10.25	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	4:1
07.02.25	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	3:2
01.09.24	Santos Laguna - Necaxa	3:2
12.04.24	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	2:0
24.09.23	Santos Laguna - Necaxa	2:5
31.03.23	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	0:0

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