Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Corona (Torreón)

Referee: Garcia L. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Santos Laguna		Necaxa

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2.15	Watch
	3.75	3.9	1.82
	2.92	3.55	2.22	Watch
	3.19	3.79	2.1	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.1
	3.2	3.8	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.66	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.72)	3.68 ↓ (4.03)	2.09 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
29.7%

Draw
25.5%

Necaxa
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

23.5%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Santos Laguna - Necaxa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Santos Laguna will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos Laguna: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos Laguna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Necaxa (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Santos Laguna (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos Laguna (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Necaxa (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo C. (G) 4. Abella J. (C) 19. Ortega H. 35. Balanta K. 2. Amione B. 5. Lopez A. 7. Dajome C. 21. Villalba F. 77. Palacios K. 11. Gruezo C. 9. Di Yorio L.	22. Unsain E. (G) 7. Rosero K. 26. Lara E. 3. Oliveros A. 16. Calderon C. 4. Pena A. (C) 11. Sanchez R. 6. Leyva D. 17. Cortez R. 30. Monreal R. 9. Badaloni T.
Substitutes
10. Bullaude E. 17. Echeverria E. 6. Guemez J. 33. Holguin H. (G) 29. Jimenez T. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 24. Medina D. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 14. Orona E. 200. Picon K.	187. Armenta K. 21. Carranza J. 8. Faravelli L. 5. Gutierrez K. 12. Jimenez L. (G) 2. Martinez E. 33. Martinez R. 20. Mendez F. 24. Rossano F. 188. Tello I.
Coaches
Rodriguez F.	Varini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Oliveros A. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Badaloni T. ⚽, Rosero K. (A),
20', Amione B. 🟨,
28', 1 - 2, Di Yorio L. ⚽, Villalba F. (A),
43', Lara E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Abella J. 🟥,
60', Cortez R. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
68', Lopez A. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
68', Balanta K. ↓, Bullaude E. ↑,
75', Sanchez R. ↓, Gutierrez K. ↑,
83', Badaloni T. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
83', Monreal R. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
83', Palacios K. ↓, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Carranza J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', Orona E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.

Necaxa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Necaxa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Santos Laguna: Lozano C. (Injury) Sordo R. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Balanta K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 34:36. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2.2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	10:15	-5	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12:20	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna
Club Friendly
23.12.25	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Santos Laguna - Atlante	0:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
09.11.25	Santos Laguna - Pachuca	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Santos Laguna - Querétaro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWLW
- Club Necaxa
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Atlas - Necaxa	5:3 ✺
23.12.25	Necaxa - Atlético San Luis	2:0 ✺
18.12.25	Necaxa - Mineros de Zacatecas	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
07.11.25	Mazatlan - Necaxa	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
31.10.25	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	4:1
07.02.25	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	3:2
01.09.24	Santos Laguna - Necaxa	3:2
12.04.24	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	2:0
24.09.23	Santos Laguna - Necaxa	2:5
31.03.23	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	0:0
06.09.22	Santos Laguna - Necaxa	3:1

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