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Current Win Probability
Orlando City 43.1%
Draw 28.2%
Seattle Sounders 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.2%
26.4%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
26.8%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Seattle Sounders aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
52.2%
30.4%
17.4%
Orlando City - Seattle Sounders Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Seattle will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 31.8% – 72.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
Orlando City has the most likely position - 5 (26.24%), has project points - 48, has currently - 39, has a good chance of playoffs (79%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Seattle has the most likely position - 8 (18.9%), has project points - 44, has currently - 33, has a chance of playoffs (33%), has not chance of first-round bye, has not chance of supporters shield, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality41, small importance30, match rating36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Orlando City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Seattle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Orlando City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Orlando City will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Orlando City: DeZart J.
(Injury)
Pato
(Injury)
There will not play in Seattle: Paulo J.
(Injury)
Vargas O.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Orlando City: Jansson R.
(Injury)
Lynn J.
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Orlando City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Orlando City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.