Match Info

MLS

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Audi Field (Washington, DC) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Penso C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	19:30	MLS Season Pass
International	23:30	Apple TV International


	DC United		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.55	4.15
	1.87	3.75	4.39
	1.82	3.73	4.24	Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.9
	1.89	3.73	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.09)	3.63 ↑ (3.5)	4.19 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DC United
51.2%

Draw
26.2%

Orlando City
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in DC United's performance.

Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orlando City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with DC United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orlando City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

DC United - Orlando City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Orlando City will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 5. Hefti S. 3. Bartlett L. (C) 15. Rowles K. 6. Kurokawa K. 22. Herrera A. 4. Peltola M. 23. Servania B. 7. Peglow 25. Hopkins J. 11. Munteanu L.	71. Crepeau M. (G) 19. Taifi Z. 57. Iago Teodoro 6. Jansson R. (C) 3. Gomez A. 77. Angulo I. 8. Ojeda B. 5. Luis Otavio 11. Tiago 22. Ellis J. 10. Ojeda M.
Substitutes
12. Antley C. 26. Bono A. (G) 30. Clark C. 24. Farr J. (G) 77. Kijima H. 27. Markovic N. 17. Murrell J. 8. Stroud J. 48. Turner G.	16. Cartagena W. 24. Dorsey G. 25. Guske C. 21. Miller N. 12. Otero J. (G) 29. Reid-Brown T. 44. Rhein B. 23. Sarajian H. 14. Spicer T.
Coaches
Weiler R.	Perelman M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Iago Teodoro 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Hopkins J. ⚽, Kurokawa K. (A),
21', Bartlett L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Herrera A. ↓, Stroud J. ↑,
46', Taifi Z. ↓, Dorsey G. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Ellis J. ⚽,
61', Tiago ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Spicer T. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),
73', Luis Otavio 🟨,
75', Munteanu L. 🟨,
77', Hopkins J. ↓, Murrell J. ↑,
77', Hefti S. ↓, Markovic N. ↑,
83', Ellis J. ↓, Reid-Brown T. ↑,
84', Servania B. 🟨,
84', 2 - 2, Munteanu L. ⚽, Markovic N. (A),
88', Luis Otavio ↓, Cartagena W. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Rowles K. ⚽, Murrell J. (A),
90+2', Stroud J. 🟨,
90+4', Kurokawa K. 🟨,
90+5', Peglow ↓, Antley C. ↑,
90+8', Cartagena W. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 1.

DC United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Orlando City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, DC United is a strong favorite.

There will not play in DC United: Karamoko H. (Illness) Nealis S. (Injury) Segal G. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Thigh Injury) Dorsey G. (Thigh Injury) Gerbet J. (Knee Injury) McGuire D. (Injury) Pasalic M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in DC United: Munteanu L. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Atuesta E. (Thigh Injury) Brekalo D. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, DC United won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:38. (average 1.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of MLS for now

Orlando City: 1.81% DC United: 0.53%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DC United
MLS
22.04.26	New York Red Bulls - DC United	4:4 ✺
18.04.26	Philadelphia Union - DC United	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.26	DC United - One Knoxville	3:4 penalties ✺
MLS
11.04.26	New England Revolution - DC United	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	DC United - FC Dallas	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTLLL
- Orlando City
MLS
22.04.26	Orlando City - Charlotte	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Orlando City - Houston Dynamo	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.26	Naples - Orlando City	0:1 ✺
MLS
12.04.26	Columbus Crew - Orlando City	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Los Angeles - Orlando City	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
13.09.25	DC United - Orlando City	1:1
22.03.25	Orlando City - DC United	4:1
06.07.24	Orlando City - DC United	5:0
13.04.24	DC United - Orlando City	2:3
22.04.23	Orlando City - DC United	1:3
11.03.23	DC United - Orlando City	1:1
31.07.22	DC United - Orlando City	2:1

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