Match Info

MLS

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Inter&Co Stadium (Orlando, FL)

Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
China	QQ Sports
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
World	Apple TV, EA Sports FC


	Orlando City		Vancouver Whitecaps

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.8	2.5	Watch
	1.83	4.1	3.5
	2.48	3.7	2.68	Watch
	2.5	3.9	2.67
	2.08	3.86	3.15	Watch
	2.43	3.87	2.69	Watch
	1.78	4.3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.79)	3.93 ↓ (4.13)	3.02 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando City
43.5%

Draw
24.6%

Vancouver Whitecaps
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

22.7%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

23.7%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orlando City's form might have worsened.

Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vancouver Whitecaps's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vancouver Whitecaps, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Orlando City - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 20%). Vancouver (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Vancouver (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Vancouver (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) 17. Thorhallsson D. 15. Schlegel R. 6. Jansson R. 21. Marin A. 11. Rodriguez N. 24. Smith K. 20. Atuesta E. 77. Angulo I. 9. Muriel L. 10. Ojeda M.	1. Takaoka Y. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 2. Laborda M. 12. Halbouni B. 28. Johnson T. 16. Berhalter S. 6. Priso-Mbongue R. 59. Badwal J. 13. Muller T. 11. Sabbi E. 14. Rios D.
Substitutes
95. Loyola F. 13. McGuire D. 99. Mercado C. (G) 23. Mohammed S. 96. Taifi Z. 68. Williams T.	50. Anchor M. (G) 32. Boehmer I. (G) 27. Bovalina G. 25. Gauld R. 97. MacKenzie L. 26. Ngando J. 53. O'Neill M. 42. Pierre N.
Coaches
Pareja O.	Sorensen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Jansson R. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Thorhallsson D. ⚽, McGuire D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Schlegel R. 🟨,
66', Sabbi E. ↓, Gauld R. ↑,
74', Badwal J. ↓, Ngando J. ↑,
74', Rios D. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
77', Angulo I. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Pierre N. ⚽,
87', McGuire D. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
90+1', Rodriguez N. ↓, Mohammed S. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 2, Muller T. ⚽, Gauld R. (A),
90+9', Smith K. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Vancouver is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent performances by Orlando City have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vancouver is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Orlando City could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Orlando City: Brekalo D. (International duty) Caraballo G. (Leg Injury) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) Pasalic M. (International duty) Spicer T. (International duty) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ahmed A. (International duty) Blackmon T. (Knee Injury) Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (International duty) Cubas A. (International duty) Nelson J. (International duty) Schonlau S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Veselinovic R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Back Injury) Gerbet J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Vancouver: White B. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando City
MLS
04.10.25	Orlando City - Columbus Crew	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Cincinnati - Orlando City	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Orlando City - Nashville SC	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	DC United - Orlando City	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
31.08.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Orlando City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWTL
- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
05.10.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - San Jose Earthquakes	4:1 ✺
Canadian Championship
01.10.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Vancouver FC	4:2 ✺
MLS
27.09.25	Seattle Sounders - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Portland Timbers	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Sporting Kansas City - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
20.04.19	Orlando City - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:0
09.06.18	Vancouver Whitecaps - Orlando City	5:2
26.08.17	Orlando City - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:2
16.07.16	Vancouver Whitecaps - Orlando City	2:2
21.03.15	Orlando City - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:1

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