Match Info

National - Round 14

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Marseille Provence, FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Orleans		Aubagne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.35	3.8
	1.86	3.55	4.13
	1.74	3.58	4.27	Watch
	1.82	3.34	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.74)	3.46 ↓ (3.58)	4.05 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orleans
50.5%

Draw
26.7%

Aubagne
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.7%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orleans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Orleans - Aubagne Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Orleans will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Orleans (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Jan C. (G) 29. Obiang J. 5. Sylla M. 8. Giraudon J. 28. Luyambula S. 22. Morel J. 7. Sanchez Da Silva F. 19. Lallias A. 10. Khous G. (C) 9. El Khoumisti F. 21. Diako M.	30. Gil J. (G) 12. M'Dahoma K. 26. Nehari M. (C) 5. Chibani N. 13. Abdallah M. 4. Diaby A. 23. Hamek M. 34. El Kaddouri B. 28. Bentoumi M. 14. Mayilla E. 7. Chaban K.
Substitutes
25. Ba P. I. 11. Berthier G. 17. Bozkurt C. 24. Obissa S. 14. Tayot G.	21. Ali Hamidou N. D. 3. Ben Hamed Y. 19. Berrabha D. 39. Doukara S. 18. Oudjani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Obiang J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, El Khoumisti F. ⚽, Morel J. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Hamek M. (Pen),
45+2', Giraudon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 2, Hamek M. ⚽, Chaban K. (A),
53', El Kaddouri B. 🟨,
60', 2 - 2, El Khoumisti F. ⚽,
76', Lallias A. ↓, Bozkurt C. ↑,
78', Hamek M. ↓, Berrabha D. ↑,
78', Chaban K. ↓, Oudjani A. ↑,
80', Diako M. 🟨,
83', 2 - 3, Mayilla E. ⚽, Bentoumi M. (A),
84', Bentoumi M. 🟨,
87', Khous G. ↓, Berthier G. ↑,
90', Mayilla E. ↓, Doukara S. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 4, Oudjani A. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 7)

Orleans is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aubagne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aubagne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Orleans is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orleans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Orleans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Orleans
Coupe De France
15.11.25	Orleans - Aviron Bayonnais	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 3
07.11.25	Concarneau - Orleans	3:0 ✺
21.10.25	Villefranche - Orleans	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Orleans - Caen	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Orleans	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWT
- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
07.11.25	Aubagne - Le Puy	1:4 ✺
31.10.25	Châteauroux - Aubagne	0:3 ✺
21.10.25	Aubagne - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Sochaux - Aubagne	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Aubagne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
02.05.25	Aubagne - Orleans	1:0
10.01.25	Orleans - Aubagne	2:1

Orleans - Aubagne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide