Match Info

National - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Aubagne		Dijon

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2.05
	3.55	3	2.08
	3.81	3.05	2.21
	7.07	1.31	5.64	Watch
	3.53	3.28	2.03	Watch
	3.5	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.04)	2.77 ↓ (3.31)	2.68 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubagne
24.7%

Draw
37.1%

Dijon
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aubagne's form might have worsened.

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Aubagne - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dijon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Dijon (1.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dijon (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gil J. (G) 13. Abdallah M. 12. M'Dahoma K. 26. Nehari M. (C) 15. Mimb Baheng R. 23. Hamek M. 7. Chaban K. 21. Ali Hamidou N. D. 4. Diaby A. 34. El Kaddouri B. 14. Mayilla E.	16. Delecroix P. (G) 3. Khatir F. 6. Diouf W. 10. Barka Y. 4. Barreto M. 14. Marie J. (C) 5. Bernard Q. 27. Moco Z. 17. Lembezat A. 21. Chouchane S. 22. Domingues J.
Substitutes
28. Bentoumi M. 10. Boudraa S. 5. Chibani N. 27. Daou R. 39. Doukara S.	35. Diaby Malick A. 7. Hamada B. 29. Ntamack A. 11. Tavares J. 20. Vargas-Rios H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', Moco Z. 🟨,
31', Moco Z. ↓, Hamada B. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Mayilla E. ⚽, Nehari M. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Lembezat A. ⚽, Barreto M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Chaban K. 🟨,
63', Mayilla E. 🟨,
69', Hamek M. ↓, Daou R. ↑,
70', Barka Y. 🟨,
72', Chouchane S. ↓, Vargas-Rios H. ↑,
73', Domingues J. ↓, Ntamack A. ↑,
73', Ali Hamidou N. D. ↓, Bentoumi M. ↑,
80', M'Dahoma K. 🟨,
83', Barka Y. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
87', Daou R. 🟨,
88', Mayilla E. ↓, Boudraa S. ↑,
90+5', Nehari M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Aubagne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dijon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aubagne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Aubagne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
26.09.25	Fleury 91 - Aubagne	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Aubagne - Versailles	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Quevilly - Aubagne	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Aubagne	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Aubagne - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTWTT
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
26.09.25	Dijon - Concarneau	3:0 ✺
12.09.25	Dijon - Villefranche	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Caen - Dijon	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dijon - Paris 13 Atletico	4:2 ✺
22.08.25	Stade Briochin - Dijon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
28.02.25	Aubagne - Dijon	1:2
27.09.24	Dijon - Aubagne	1:0
Coupe De France
04.01.14	Aubagne - Dijon	3:4 penalties

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