Match Info

National - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Marseille Provence
World	FIFA+


	Sochaux		Aubagne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.35	4.45
	1.81	3.46	5.09
	1.05	10.78	25.00	Watch
	1.76	3.4	4.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.77)	5.25 ↑ (3.43)	9.79 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
68.2%

Draw
20.7%

Aubagne
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.9%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

29.4%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sochaux's performance.

Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aubagne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sochaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aubagne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Sochaux - Aubagne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochaux (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sochaux will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pierre A. (G) 24. Tavares D. 4. Vitelli A. (C) 26. N'Gatta E. 22. Loubao S. 23. Masson J. 14. Peybernes M. 15. Mexique J. 28. Boutoutaou A. 7. Gomel B. 9. Djoco K.	30. Gil J. (G) 21. Ali Hamidou N. D. 5. Chibani N. 26. Nehari M. (C) 15. Mimb Baheng R. 13. Abdallah M. 34. El Kaddouri B. 4. Diaby A. 23. Hamek M. 7. Chaban K. 14. Mayilla E.
Substitutes
8. Bayanginisa H. 20. Mendy P. 12. Sidibe A. 11. Vetro J. 17. Youssouf B.	3. Ben Hamed Y. 28. Bentoumi M. 10. Boudraa S. 27. Daou R. 12. M'Dahoma K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Djoco K. ⚽,
16', Ali Hamidou N. D. 🟨,
20', 2 - 0, Gomel B. ⚽, N'Gatta E. (A),
34', Gomel B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ali Hamidou N. D. ↓, Daou R. ↑,
55', Daou R. 🟨,
57', Hamek M. ↓, Boudraa S. ↑,
69', El Kaddouri B. ↓, Bentoumi M. ↑,
70', Loubao S. ↓, Vetro J. ↑,
79', Gomel B. ↓, Youssouf B. ↑,
79', Boutoutaou A. ↓, Bayanginisa H. ↑,
85', Mimb Baheng R. ↓, Ben Hamed Y. ↑,
89', Djoco K. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)

Sochaux has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aubagne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sochaux is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sochaux won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sochaux won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
03.10.25	Concarneau - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Villefranche - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Sochaux - Caen	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
29.08.25	Sochaux - Stade Briochin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTWW
- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
03.10.25	Aubagne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Fleury 91 - Aubagne	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Aubagne - Versailles	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Quevilly - Aubagne	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Aubagne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
21.02.25	Sochaux - Aubagne	0:1
20.09.24	Aubagne - Sochaux	0:1

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