Match Info

National - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Orleans		Caen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.15	2.78
	2.45	3.2	3.09
	1.55	3.79	5.88	Watch
	2.43	3.14	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.21)	3.32 ↑ (3.14)	3.65 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Orleans
44.1%

Draw
29.3%

Caen
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	80%	10%

Orleans - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Orleans will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Caen will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Caen (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Jan C. (C) 23. Mouton E. 5. Sylla M. 8. Giraudon J. 28. Luyambula S. 7. Sanchez Da Silva F. 22. Morel J. 10. Khous G. 17. Bozkurt C. 9. El Khoumisti F. 19. Lallias A.	1. Mandrea A. (G) 22. Hafid M. 27. Debohi D. 2. Vinicius Gomes 26. Etuin M. 18. Henry V. 12. Mazie O. 6. M'Vila Y. (C) 14. Rajot L. 7. Diakite A. 23. Morante L.
Substitutes
25. Ba P. I. 6. D'Arpino M. 21. Diako M. 29. Obiang J. 24. Obissa S.	19. Botella I. 5. Dali Amar B. 11. Gnanduillet A. 17. Labonne R. 24. Milliner L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, El Khoumisti F. ⚽, Sanchez Da Silva F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Bozkurt C. ↓, Ba P. I. ↑,
63', Diakite A. ↓, Botella I. ↑,
63', Morante L. ↓, Dali Amar B. ↑,
65', Khous G. 🟨,
70', 2 - 0, Lallias A. ⚽, Mouton E. (A),
73', Hafid M. ↓, Labonne R. ↑,
73', Etuin M. ↓, Gnanduillet A. ↑,
73', Rajot L. ↓, Milliner L. ↑,
76', Labonne R. 🟨,
79', Luyambula S. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
82', Lallias A. ↓, Diako M. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Gnanduillet A. ⚽, Dali Amar B. (A),
88', Giraudon J. 🟨,
90+5', Dali Amar B. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 5).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orleans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Orleans won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
03.10.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Orleans	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Orleans - Stade Briochin	3:2 ✺
19.09.25	Rouen FC - Orleans	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Orleans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Orleans - Le Puy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLWT
- SM Caen
French Ligue 3
03.10.25	Caen - Le Puy	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Châteauroux - Caen	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Caen - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Sochaux - Caen	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Caen - Dijon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.07.21	Orleans - Caen	1:3
French Ligue 2
01.11.19	Caen - Orleans	2:1
Club Friendly
06.10.16	Caen - Orleans	0:0

Upcoming Matches