Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 25

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Source (Orléans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Orleans		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3
	2.42	3.05	2.95
	2.56	3.15	3.07
	2.44	2.93	2.96	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.9
	2.48	2.92	2.97	Watch
	2.42	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.01)	3 ↓ (3.18)	2.97 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orleans
38.2%

Draw
30.7%

Boulogne
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

29.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

30.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orleans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orleans's form might have worsened.

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boulogne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orleans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boulogne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Orleans - Boulogne Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Orleans will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Boulogne will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orleans: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viot V. (C) 4. Jean-Pierre M. 8. Giraudon J. 3. Baudry M. 22. Halby J. 10. Khous G. 11. Berthier G. 28. Sanchez Da Silva F. 15. Goujon L. 13. Sila K. 12. Testud K.	16. Pandor Y. (G) 26. Thiam D. 2. Gourville S. 23. Dabo E. 11. Averlant T. 21. Hbouch A. 14. Bultel J. 8. Vercruysse J. 24. Epailly T. 29. Kitenge C. 9. Rambaud T.
Substitutes
23. Cartillier A. 14. Do Marcolino F. 7. Iva T. 33. Lallias A. 21. Theresin V.	27. Baala A. 40. Delins V. (G) 17. Fatou C. 15. Pinot A. 20. Toure H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Rambaud T. ⚽, Bultel J. (A),
32', Kitenge C. 🟨,
36', Giraudon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Testud K. ↓, Iva T. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Berthier G. ⚽, Khous G. (A),
62', Goujon L. ↓, Cartillier A. ↑,
71', Bultel J. ↓, Toure H. ↑,
76', Epailly T. ↓, Baala A. ↑,
76', Averlant T. ↓, Pinot A. ↑,
83', Halby J. ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orleans won 2.

Recent matches Orleans is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boulogne is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Orleans will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Orleans: Camara M. (Inactive) D'Arpino M. (Inactive) Ponti R. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Boulogne: Baala A. (Inactive) Busin A. (Suspended) Duflos S. (Injury) Jannequin R. (Injury) Lenogue X. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Orleans won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:16 (average 1.7:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Orleans won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
07.03.25	Dijon - Orleans	2:2 ✺
28.02.25	Orleans - Sochaux	4:2 ✺
21.02.25	Villefranche - Orleans	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Orleans - Versailles	2:3 ✺
07.02.25	Concarneau - Orleans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLLW
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
07.03.25	Boulogne - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	Nancy - Boulogne	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Boulogne - Paris 13 Atletico	3:1 ✺
14.02.25	Le Mans - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Quevilly - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
18.10.24	Boulogne - Orleans	3:0
21.01.22	Orleans - Boulogne	2:1
20.08.21	Boulogne - Orleans	1:1
03.04.21	Boulogne - Orleans	2:2
24.11.20	Orleans - Boulogne	1:0
22.04.16	Orleans - Boulogne	1:2
15.12.15	Boulogne - Orleans	4:3

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