Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 24

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-sur-Mer)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Boulogne		Aubagne

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	3.9
	1.92	3.25	4
	1.92	3.39	4.45
	1.85	3.34	4.04	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.83	3.38	4.17	Watch
	1.92	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.1)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	4.05 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
48.9%

Draw
28.3%

Aubagne
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boulogne's performance.

Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	10.5%	5.3%

Boulogne - Aubagne Predictions

Users Predictions: Boulogne will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Pandor Y. (G) 11. Averlant T. 12. Boyer J. 14. Bultel J. 24. Epailly T. 2. Gourville S. 21. Hbouch A. 9. Rambaud T. 26. Thiam D. 8. Vercruysse J. 5. Zohore N. (C)	30. Gil J. (G) 10. Benhattab Y. 34. El Kaddouri B. 19. Karamoko S. 4. Khetir C. 12. M'Dahoma K. 23. Mouton E. 24. Nehari M. 9. Nsimba S. 5. Rouai M. 27. Tohouli C.
Substitutes
23. Dabo E. 40. Delins V. (G) 17. Fatou C. 29. Kitenge C. 20. Toure H.	20. Boudraa S. 8. Bouteba M. R. 3. Khatir F. 16. Lavallee L. (G) 6. Tafni A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Boyer J. ↓, Kitenge C. ↑,
14', Zohore N. ↓, Dabo E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Averlant T. ⚽,
65', Tohouli C. ↓, Khatir F. ↑,
65', Bultel J. ↓, Toure H. ↑,
70', Kitenge C. 🟨,
71', El Kaddouri B. ↓, Boudraa S. ↑,
84', Rouai M. 🟨,
86', Pandor Y. 🟨,
89', Khetir C. 🟨,
90', Epailly T. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Mouton E. ⚽, Nsimba S. (A),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 7).

Boulogne is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aubagne is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Boulogne is a favorite.

There will not play in Boulogne: Baala A. (Inactive) Duflos S. (Injury) Jannequin R. (Injury) Lenogue X. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Boulogne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
28.02.25	Nancy - Boulogne	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Boulogne - Paris 13 Atletico	3:1 ✺
14.02.25	Le Mans - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Quevilly - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Boulogne - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWLWT
- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
28.02.25	Aubagne - Dijon	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Sochaux - Aubagne	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Aubagne - Villefranche	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Versailles - Aubagne	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Aubagne - Concarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
04.10.24	Aubagne - Boulogne	3:0

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