Match Info
Primera B - Clausura - Round 1Date: 15 July 2025, TuesdayLocation: Francisco Rivera Escobar (Palmira)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
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Orsomarso |
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Bogotá |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
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1.61 |
3.1 |
5.75 |
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 |
2.08 |
2.82 |
3.85 |
Watch |
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1.89 |
3.05 |
4.58 |
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Watch |
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1.7 |
3 |
5.5 |
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2.1 |
2.72 |
4.2 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↑ (1.51) |
2.94 ↓ (3.62) |
4.78 ↓ (7.03) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Orsomarso 49.2% | Draw 31.4% | Bogotá 19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orsomarso's form might have worsened.Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bogotá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orsomarso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bogotá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Orsomarso - Bogotá Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Bogotá (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Orsomarso will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Orsomarso will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Orsomarso (votes: 4 - 80%). Bogotá (votes: 1 - 20%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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12. Benitez B. (G)
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9. Arrechea S.
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3. Balanta M.
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5. Barrios D.
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10. Caicedo C.
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7. Girado S.
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2. Londono
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8. Montano Loango A. J. (C)
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15. Palacios Y.
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22. Preciado E.
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20. Ruiz A.
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| Substitutes |
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17. Angulo J.
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1. Arango H. (G)
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19. Caicedo C. S. L.
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18. Lopez S.
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14. Mena A.
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11. Mena J.
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6. Rengifo N.
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27. Salcedo J
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21. Urrutia Y.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Arrechea S. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sanchez J. ↓, Moreno Torres J. D. ↑,
- 46', Moreno Abadia J. C. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
- 50', Moreno F. 🟨,
- 59', Ruiz A. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 59', Caicedo C. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
- 64', Robledo W. ↓, Viafara D. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 87', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 3.Both teams are currently in poor form. In this match, Orsomarso is the team to beat.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.3:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Orsomarso won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Colombian Primera B | | | 01.02.25 | Bogotá - Orsomarso | 2:2 | | 22.10.24 | Bogotá - Orsomarso | 2:3 | | 12.05.24 | Orsomarso - Bogotá | 2:0 | | 25.09.23 | Orsomarso - Bogotá | 2:0 | | 19.04.23 | Bogotá - Orsomarso | 3:0 | | 23.09.22 | Bogotá - Orsomarso | 1:0 | | 23.04.22 | Orsomarso - Bogotá | 1:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;