Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata (Barrancabermeja) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Colombia	17:00	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	18:00	Fanatiz


	Orsomarso		Bogotá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.25
	2.05	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.11	3.2	3.55
	2.09	3.27	3.52	Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.45
	2.03	3.1	3.44	Watch
	2.06	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.08)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	3.42 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsomarso
44.2%

Draw
29.1%

Bogotá
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Orsomarso - Bogotá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Orsomarso will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Blanco I. (G) . Agamez S. 9. Arrechea S. 13. Barreiro J. . Barrios D. 7. Caicedo B. 27. Contreras J. 26. Gonzalez S. 22. Matamba D. 10. Ruiz A. 28. Valencia Y.	29. Aguilar A. (G) 7. Aladesanmi K. (C) 21. Arango J. 31. Asprilla J. 3. Diaz S. 19. Estupinan D. 32. Gutierrez A. 81. Mosquera Y. 2. Palacios M. 8. Perez J. 16. Ramos Jaramillo H.
Substitutes
24. Campaz B. 30. Cossio C. (G) 29. Martinez S. 11. Preciado M. 23. Sanchez M. 18. Valoyes Y. 2. Vargas N. . Villarreal J. 14. Zarante	12. Benitez B. (G) 36. Palacios J. 9. Perea S. 11. Sandoval Lasso H. 20. Segura N. 15. Velasco J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
11', Barreiro J. 🟨,
20', Diaz S. 🟨,
36', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
39', Aladesanmi K. 🟨,
44', Ruiz A. 🟨,
45+2', Contreras J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez S. ↓, Villarreal J. ↑,
46', Ruiz A. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
46', Estupinan D. ↓, Sandoval Lasso H. ↑,
54', Arango J. ↓, Perea S. ↑,
66', Arrechea S. ↓, Campaz B. ↑,
71', Ramos Jaramillo H. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
74', Barreiro J. ↓, Vargas N. ↑,
80', Contreras J. ↓, Preciado M. ↑,
81', Perez J. ↓, Velasco J. ↑,
81', Aladesanmi K. ↓, Segura N. ↑,
87', Villarreal J. 🟨,
90+1', Preciado M. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Segura N. ⚽,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 13th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Orsomarso may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Orsomarso is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Orsomarso has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:30 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Orsomarso against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 15:6 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Bogotá - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.78%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Primera B
15.10.26	Internacional de Palmira - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
12.10.26	Orsomarso - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Orsomarso - Deportes Quindío	0:1 ✺
01.10.26	Envigado - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
28.09.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Orsomarso	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLTL
- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
14.10.26	Real Cundinamarca - Bogotá	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Bogotá - Patriotas	0:0 ✺
05.10.26	Bogotá - Envigado	3:3 ✺
28.09.26	Deportes Quindío - Bogotá	1:0 ✺
21.09.26	Bogotá - Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
13.04.26	Bogotá - Orsomarso	2:0
15.07.25	Orsomarso - Bogotá	1:1
01.02.25	Bogotá - Orsomarso	2:2
22.10.24	Bogotá - Orsomarso	2:3
12.05.24	Orsomarso - Bogotá	2:0
25.09.23	Orsomarso - Bogotá	2:0
19.04.23	Bogotá - Orsomarso	3:0

Orsomarso - Bogotá