Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 3

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Francisco Rivera Escobar (Palmira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports, Win Sports Online


	Orsomarso		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3	2
	3.75	3	2.08	Watch
	3.8	2.98	2.09
	3.88	3.06	2.08	Watch
	3.6	3	2
	3.74	3.08	2.04
	3.75	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↓ (3.78)	3.02 ↓ (3.04)	2.05 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsomarso
24.8%

Draw
30.4%

Llaneros SA
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

30.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

30.2%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Orsomarso - Llaneros SA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Benitez B. (G) 32. Agamez S. 17. Angulo J. 4. Bonilla D. 16. Castano J. 6. Copete D. 7. Girado S. 20. Ibarra C. 8. Mayo S. (C) 3. Palacios M. 29. Salazar J.	1. Armesto K. (G) 20. Angulo J. 5. Cadavid A. 7. Duarte W. 33. Lasso J. 31. Montes G. 27. Mosquera D. 21. Ospina N. 6. Sierra M. 10. Uruena B. (C) 26. Verdugo A.
Substitutes
21. Aragon A. 5. Benavides G. 2. Correa B. 30. Palacios Canola A. C. 27. Palacios Mosquera D. 18. Ruiz A. 14. Segura O.	32. Arbelaez F. 12. Cadavid A. (G) 9. Caicedo J. F. 18. Medina M. 16. Mosquera M. 99. Restrepo E. 29. Villamayor J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Cadavid A. (Own goal),
42', Segura O. 🟨,
44', Verdugo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Verdugo A. ↓, Caicedo J. F. ↑,
46', Duarte W. ↓, Villamayor J. ↑,
65', Salazar J. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
65', Ibarra C. ↓, Palacios Mosquera D. ↑,
65', Lasso J. 🟨,
66', Lasso J. ↓, Restrepo E. ↑,
66', Sierra M. ↓, Arbelaez F. ↑,
73', Bonilla D. 🟨,
76', Mosquera D. ↓, Medina M. ↑,
76', Girado S. ↓, Correa B. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Agamez S. ⚽,
89', Agamez S. ↓, Segura O. ↑,
89', Copete D. ↓, Benavides G. ↑,
90+4', Restrepo E. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orsomarso won 0.

Recent matches Orsomarso is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Llaneros SA is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Llaneros SA will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Orsomarso won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:15 (average 0.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Orsomarso won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Primera B
04.11.24	Orsomarso - Deportes Quindío	0:0 ✺
30.10.24	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Bogotá - Orsomarso	2:3 ✺
14.10.24	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	1:0 ✺
08.10.24	Orsomarso - Atlético Huila	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWWL
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera B
04.11.24	Llaneros SA - Real Cartagena	5:1 ✺
30.10.24	Deportes Quindío - Llaneros SA	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Llaneros SA - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
16.10.24	Real Santander - Llaneros SA	0:4 ✺
06.10.24	Llaneros SA - Real Cundinamarca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
24.09.24	Orsomarso - Llaneros SA	1:1
19.06.24	Llaneros SA - Orsomarso	3:2 penalties
16.06.24	Orsomarso - Llaneros SA	0:0
19.04.24	Llaneros SA - Orsomarso	1:0
14.08.23	Orsomarso - Llaneros SA	0:2
25.02.23	Llaneros SA - Orsomarso	2:1
07.09.22	Orsomarso - Llaneros SA	2:2

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