Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Villa Concha (Piedecuesta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports Online


	Real Santander		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	3.75	1.49
	6.4	3.9	1.51
	6.13	3.92	1.51
	6.38	3.89	1.54	Watch
	7	3.75	1.44
	6.41	3.92	1.49	Watch
	6.4	3.9	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.35 ↑ (5.29)	3.86 ↑ (3.5)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
14.5%

Draw
23.9%

Llaneros SA
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

26.2%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

25.6%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llaneros SA's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Real Santander - Llaneros SA Predictions

Users Predictions: Llaneros SA will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chacon K. (G) 35. Castillo Y. 21. Duque J. (C) 3. Duran N. 8. Gomez J. 30. Perez J. 4. Pertuz J. 33. Rangel L. 6. Ruiz Bravo D. F. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 24. Yanes L.	1. Armesto K. (G) 20. Angulo J. 5. Cadavid A. 7. Duarte W. 33. Lasso J. 31. Montes G. 27. Mosquera D. 21. Ospina N. 6. Sierra M. 10. Uruena B. (C) 26. Verdugo A.
Substitutes
28. Acuna S. 14. Garcia Habib J. P. 31. Garcia J. 27. Neira Murillo Y. F. 12. Ramos Y. 9. Segura A. 19. Torres D.	12. Cadavid A. (G) 9. Caicedo J. F. 19. Churi B. 16. Mosquera M. 23. Nieva J. 99. Restrepo E. 29. Villamayor J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Verdugo A. ⚽,
31', Uruena B. 🟨,
35', Ruiz Bravo D. F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Perez J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Montes G. ⚽,
60', Rangel L. ↓, Segura A. ↑,
64', Ruiz Bravo D. F. ↓, Acuna S. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Mosquera D. ⚽,
70', Pertuz J. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
74', 0 - 4, Ospina N. ⚽,
75', Sierra M. ↓, Restrepo E. ↑,
75', Duarte W. ↓, Caicedo J. F. ↑,
80', Ospina N. ↓, Churi B. ↑,
80', Verdugo A. ↓, Villamayor J. ↑,
86', Mosquera D. ↓, Mosquera M. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Santander won 1.

Real Santander has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Llaneros SA is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Santander could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Llaneros SA is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Real Santander won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Santander won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
09.10.24	Real Santander - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Santander	6:0 ✺
02.10.24	Real Santander - Orsomarso	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Real Santander - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
23.09.24	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Santander	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLTL
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera B
06.10.24	Llaneros SA - Real Cundinamarca	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Llaneros SA - Deportes Quindío	0:1 ✺
24.09.24	Orsomarso - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Llaneros SA - Bogotá	2:3 ✺
11.09.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
06.05.24	Llaneros SA - Real Santander	4:0
23.09.23	Llaneros SA - Real Santander	2:0
19.04.23	Real Santander - Llaneros SA	0:0
09.07.22	Real Santander - Llaneros SA	3:1
10.04.22	Llaneros SA - Real Santander	2:2
28.08.21	Real Santander - Llaneros SA	3:1

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