Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday


	Rodina Moscow 3		Oryol

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.94
	2.11	3.29	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.11)	3.35 ↑ (3.29)	2.89 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow 3
41.8%

Draw
27%

Oryol
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

26.9%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Oryol have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tarasov R. (G) 70. Atamanskiy I. 11. Belkovskiy M. 62. Berzegov R. 9. Burkov A. 93. Evstratov A. 6. Gorbachev I. 85. Makarov I. 71. Postnikov N. 5. Terekhov A. 7. Trapitsyn N.	75. Zemskov P. (G) 10. Borisov G. 69. Cherepanov S. 9. Gogrichiani G. 11. Izotov P. 2. Khmelevskoy S. 55. Kopylov D. 20. Luksha A. 97. Sokol D. 22. Stavtsev I. 21. Yakushin A.
Substitutes
21. Belokhonov A. 98. Bykov N. (G) 23. Gaziev A. 10. Kriulskiy A. 28. Kukushbaev R. 17. Pastushkov V. 90. Sharapov T.	24. Kotov N. (G) 13. Krasov N. 99. Kuzmin D. 6. Luzin S. 18. Maltsev L. 8. Merkulov D. 28. Peterson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Makarov I. ⚽,
34', Gorbachev I. 🟨,
37', Gorbachev I. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Borisov G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Makarov I. ↓, Gaziev A. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Gaziev A. ⚽,
66', Belkovskiy M. ↓, Belokhonov A. ↑,
67', Atamanskiy I. ↓, Kriulskiy A. ↑,
70', Luksha A. ↓, Luzin S. ↑,
76', 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Merkulov D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

Rodina M has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oryol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rodina M might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rodina M won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
05.07.25	Dynamo Bryansk - Rodina Moscow 3	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Rodina Moscow 3	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Rotor 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTLT
- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
29.06.25	Strogino Moskva - Oryol	2:4 ✺
21.06.25	Kvant Obninsk - Oryol	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Oryol - Dynamo Bryansk	0:0 ✺
08.06.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Oryol	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Oryol - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
05.04.25	Oryol - Rodina Moscow 3	0:2

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