Match Info

Date: 27 November 2020, Friday


	Osasco Sporting		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.6	1.5	Watch
	5.25	3.6	1.57
	6.1	3.5	1.5	Watch
	7.4	3.6	1.48
	8.21	3.83	1.53
	8	3.5	1.5
	7.2	3.75	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.95 ↑ (6.46)	3.63 ↓ (3.69)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco Sporting
13.3%

Draw
25.6%

América Mineiro
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

25.3%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

21.2%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Osasco Sporting - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Osasco Sporting will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). América MG will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

Oeste is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

América MG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

América MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match América MG is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Oeste won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Oeste won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.20	Ponte Preta - Osasco Sporting	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Osasco Sporting - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
13.11.20	Osasco Sporting - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
07.11.20	Chapecoense - Osasco Sporting	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Osasco Sporting - Sampaio Corrêa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWLTL
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.20	América Mineiro - Juventude	2:1 ✺
21.11.20	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.11.20	América Mineiro - Internacional RS	1:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
14.11.20	Cuiabá - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.11.20	Internacional RS - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.08.20	América Mineiro - Osasco Sporting	2:1
19.10.19	Osasco Sporting - América Mineiro	0:1
23.07.19	América Mineiro - Osasco Sporting	0:0
01.10.17	América Mineiro - Osasco Sporting	1:2
17.06.17	Osasco Sporting - América Mineiro	0:0
23.10.15	América Mineiro - Osasco Sporting	2:1
18.07.15	Osasco Sporting - América Mineiro	3:1

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