Match Info

Date: 5 September 2020, Saturday


	Osasco Sporting		Juventude

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.87	Watch
	2.45	2.85	2.85
	2.48	2.75	2.9	Watch
	2.55	2.8	2.9
	2.68	2.95	3.06
	2.55	2.9	2.9
	2.58	3.02	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.53)	2.88 ↓ (3.14)	2.92 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco Sporting
36.4%

Draw
32%

Juventude
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29.4%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

20.3%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasco Sporting that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventude could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osasco Sporting - Juventude Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Oeste is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Juventude is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oeste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oeste won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Oeste won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
31.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
28.08.20	Osasco Sporting - Avaí	0:2 ✺
21.08.20	América Mineiro - Osasco Sporting	2:1 ✺
18.08.20	Osasco Sporting - Ponte Preta	1:3 ✺
15.08.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLLT
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
01.09.20	Chapecoense - Juventude	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	Juventude - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.08.20	América RN - Juventude	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.08.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Juventude	3:3 ✺
17.08.20	Juventude - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.08.18	Osasco Sporting - Juventude	0:0
20.04.18	Juventude - Osasco Sporting	1:1
10.11.17	Juventude - Osasco Sporting	0:0
22.07.17	Osasco Sporting - Juventude	3:0

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