Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 1

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: da Cruz Y. E. F. (Bra)


	Juventude		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.9
	1.98	3.05	3.95
	1.95	3.3	4.55
	1.91	3.1	4.2
	1.98	3.28	4.05	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.17)	3.17 ↑ (3.01)	4.08 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
47.7%

Draw
29.4%

Botafogo SP
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

30.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juventude's performance.

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Juventude - Botafogo SP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Juventude is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo SP is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Juventude could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Juventude will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Juventude won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
11.03.23	Juventude - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Juventude	1:3 ✺
27.02.23	Caxias - Juventude	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.02.23	São Luiz - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
16.02.23	Juventude - Aimoré	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLW
- Botafogo SP
Copa do Brasil
11.04.23	Botafogo SP - Santos	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.03.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
09.03.23	Botafogo SP - São Raimundo PR	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.23	Botafogo SP - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Parnahyba - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.12.20	Botafogo SP - Juventude	1:1
29.08.20	Juventude - Botafogo SP	0:0
Brazilian Serie C
28.08.16	Juventude - Botafogo SP	0:0
26.06.16	Botafogo SP - Juventude	1:1

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