The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Osasuna B 34.6%
Draw 30.1%
Real Sociedad B 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
28.3%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
27.4%
45.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osasuna B's performance.
Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasuna B that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Osasuna B - Real Sociedad B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Valencia P. (G) 2. Moreno D. 24. Sierra I. 4. Garriz I. 18. Espejo D. 22. Arguibide I. 6. Echegoyen M. 21. Garcia J. 3. Herrero T. 20. Arroyo R. 16. Ogbuehi S.
13. Arana E. (G) 21. Merino J. 31. Martin J. 24. Beitia L. 3. Balda J. 11. Ochieng J. 10. Goti Lopez M. 28. Carbonell T. 18. Garcia E. 19. Marchal A. 20. Mariezkurrena A.
Substitutes
12. Gonzalez D. 14. Huarte X. 23. Lopez N. 11. Lorenzo N. 7. Lumbreras C. 34. Morales A. 17. Moreno P. 5. Mutilva C. 31. Rafa (G) 9. Sancho D. 32. Santos U.
23. Agote U. 5. Astigarraga E. 36. Cabo I. 39. Eceizabarrena J. 37. Garro J. 26. Gorosabel J. 6. Lebarbier A. 9. Orobengoa E. 17. Ramirez D. 15. Rodriguez P. 32. Zango A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Arguibide I. ↓, Huarte X. ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Garcia E. ⚽,
45+1', Ochieng J. ↓, Orobengoa E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Huarte X. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
48', Echegoyen M. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽,
55', Moreno D. 🟨,
63', Echegoyen M. ↓, Santos U. ↑,
66', Merino J. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
66', Marchal A. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
75', Ogbuehi S. ↓, Lorenzo N. ↑,
75', Garcia J. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
75', Mariezkurrena A. ↓, Gorosabel J. ↑,
75', Garcia E. ↓, Lebarbier A. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Osasuna B won 0.
Osasuna B is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Real Sociedad B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Osasuna B won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:19 (average 0.7:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Osasuna B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1:8 (average 0.3:2).