Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Lugo		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.75
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.68	3.4	4.95
	1.72	3.81	4.4
	1.73	3.85	4.33	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.2
	1.66	3.62	4.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)	3.54 ↑ (3.35)	4.52 ↓ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
54.2%

Draw
25.7%

Osasuna B
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

27.1%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

25.9%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osasuna B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lugo - Osasuna B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez M. (C) 2. Rodriguez Y. 24. Gaya J. 3. Garriz I. 6. Haro P. 12. Perera A. 19. Unzueta I. 14. Presa K. 11. Pastrana V. 15. Reniero N. 5. Gallar A.	13. Rafa (G) 3. Jimenez A. 5. Santos U. 4. Espejo D. 21. Ruiz R. C. 6. Echegoyen M. 16. Auria M. (C) 10. Rico M. 12. Lucero R. 9. Gonzalez D. 8. Yoldi A.
Substitutes
10. Alba T. 8. Balboa A. 17. Caballo D. 9. Celorio N. 7. Gonzalez J. 16. Jose Amo 23. Junior L. 20. Lopez I. 13. Piedra I. (G) 22. Samanes S. 25. Sanchez B. 21. Teofilovic O.	30. Anso M. 34. Arrasate I. 17. Arroyo R. 19. Bonel A. 15. Efremov A. 22. Larrion A. 7. Lumbreras C. 20. Perez B. 23. Serrano M. 1. Stamatakis D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Espejo D. 🟨,
38', Gaya J. ↓, Jose Amo ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Perera A. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
65', Gallar A. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
65', Pastrana V. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
67', Santos U. ↓, Arrasate I. ↑,
67', Yoldi A. ↓, Bonel A. ↑,
71', Espejo D. ↓, Anso M. ↑,
83', Unzueta I. ↓, Teofilovic O. ↑,
84', Rico M. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Arroyo R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Lugo is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lugo	6	5	1	0	9:3	6	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.03.26	Cacereño - Lugo	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Lugo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Lugo - Real Madrid Castilla	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Tenerife - Lugo	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTLTW
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.03.26	Osasuna B - CD Guadalajara	4:3 ✺
22.03.26	Tenerife - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Osasuna B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ponferradina - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Osasuna B - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.12.25	Osasuna B - Lugo	0:0
02.02.25	Lugo - Osasuna B	3:1
27.10.24	Osasuna B - Lugo	0:1
11.02.24	Lugo - Osasuna B	1:1
08.10.23	Osasuna B - Lugo	1:2

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