Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Tajonar Facilities Stadium (Pamplona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Osasuna B		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.4
	1.98	3.25	3.25
	1.97	3	3.2
	2.09	3.35	3.21
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.01	3.34	3.51
	1.97	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.92)	3.18 ↑ (3)	3.31 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna B
44.7%

Draw
28.2%

Amorebieta
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

29.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.7%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Osasuna B - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Valencia P. (G) 22. Arguibide I. 18. Espejo D. 4. Garriz I. 3. Herrero T. 2. Moreno D. 8. Osambela A. 14. Huarte X. 6. Echegoyen M. 7. Lumbreras C. 21. Garcia J.	1. Marino U. (C) 20. Coto E. 22. Yuste A. 5. Amelibia J. 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 2. Carbonell A. 18. Coulibaly A. 14. Ben Hamed N. 11. Hervias P. 17. Munoz I. 7. Selma D.
Substitutes
10. Auria M. 23. Lopez N. 11. Lorenzo N. 34. Morales A. 17. Moreno P. 5. Mutilva C. 29. Pedroarena M. 31. Rafa (G) 9. Sancho D.	35. Benito U. 10. Berto 13. Campos G. (G) 9. Kaxe 4. Kortazar M. 24. Perez E. 8. Vicandi A. 28. Yaniz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Bravo Fernandez M. 🟨,
21', Osambela A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Lumbreras C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Hervias P. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
68', Lumbreras C. ↓, Sancho D. ↑,
68', Moreno D. ↓, Lorenzo N. ↑,
74', Selma D. ↓, Kaxe ↑,
74', Coto E. ↓, Vicandi A. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Garcia J. (Pen),
81', Garcia J. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
81', Huarte X. ↓, Mutilva C. ↑,
81', Yuste A. ↓, Yaniz P. ↑,
81', Coulibaly A. ↓, Kortazar M. ↑,
86', Osambela A. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osasuna B won 3.

Osasuna B has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Amorebieta is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amorebieta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Osasuna B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Osasuna B won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Osasuna B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna B
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Numancia - Osasuna B	0:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Barakaldo - Osasuna B	2:1 ✺
13.12.24	Osasuna B - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	FC Andorra - Osasuna B	7:2 ✺
01.12.24	Osasuna B - Tarazona	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	FC Andorra - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Amorebieta - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
06.12.24	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Amorebieta - Sestao	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Ponferradina - Amorebieta	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.23	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.02.23	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	2:0
11.09.22	Osasuna B - Amorebieta	2:1
Club Friendly
28.07.21	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.02.20	Osasuna B - Amorebieta	3:2
14.09.19	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	1:0
13.01.18	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	3:1

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