The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Sociedad B 48.7%
Draw 27.5%
Ourense CF 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.4%
22.7%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
22.8%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Sociedad B's form might have worsened.
Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense CF's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Sociedad B - Ourense CF Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 24. Beitia L. 15. Rodriguez P. 3. Balda J. 7. Diaz D. 10. Goti Lopez M. 28. Carbonell T. 8. Rodriguez M. 20. Mariezkurrena A. 9. Orobengoa E.
1. Marqueta R. (G) 2. Andrada F. 4. Carmona F. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Sanz H. 21. Raigal J. 22. Noriega J. 23. Fullana F. 6. Fidalgo A. 14. del Olmo I. 7. Carbonell J.
Substitutes
23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 5. Astigarraga E. 18. Garcia E. 26. Gorosabel J. 6. Lebarbier A. 31. Marchal A. 21. Merino J. 11. Ochieng J. 17. Ramirez D. 38. Ropero I.
9. Di Renzo G. 11. Gil A. 10. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 16. Juanma Bravo 17. Prada R. 5. Prado M. 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Sanchez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Ruperez I. ⚽,
25', Carmona F. 🟨,
26', Goti Lopez M. (Pen),
33', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Carmona F. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Fullana F. ⚽,
58', del Olmo I. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
60', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
71', 🟨,
72', Raigal J. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
72', Fullana F. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
78', Carbonell J. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Garcia E. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Real Sociedad B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ourense CF is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Real Sociedad B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Real Sociedad B have a series of guest games.
Spain
Watch
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Fraga A. (G) 
Ochieng J. 
Di Renzo G. 
Guillen P. (G) 
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