Match Info

HNL - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Opus Arena (Osijek) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	15:00	HRT 2, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 9


	Osijek		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.38
				Watch
	3	3.1	2.32
	3.16	3.15	2.5
	3.48	3.2	2.15	Watch
	2.88	3	2.45
	3.1	2.96	2.42	Watch
	3.1	2.85	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.43)	3.04 ↓ (3.22)	2.38 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osijek
30.3%

Draw
30.6%

Rijeka
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.2%

29%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

28.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rijeka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Osijek - Rijeka Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Rijeka will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Osijek (votes: 2 - 50%). Rijeka (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Osijek (2.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Osijek (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Rijeka (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Curcija N. (G) 29. Karacic F. 26. Jelenic L. 33. Hasic E. 3. Barisic B. (C) 21. Bubanja V. 57. Akere S. 99. Teklic T. 8. Mikolcic S. 11. Omerovic N. 34. Matkovic A.	13. Zlomislic M. (G) 28. Barisic T. 6. Radeljic S. 91. Bodetic N. 22. Orec A. 26. Dantas T. 55. Barco A. 25. Thaqi D. 19. Vignato S. 77. Juric A. 14. Gojak A.
Substitutes
39. Bukvic D. 38. Colina D. 36. Dedic J. 12. Grahovac M. (G) 17. Jakupovic A. 98. Jovicic M. 6. Mejia Moscoso D. M. 15. Mersinaj J. 5. Mkrtchyan S. 16. Petrusenko O.	18. Adu Adjei D. 9. Cop D. 34. Devetak M. 10. Fruk T. 51. Husic A. 23. Lasickas J. 17. Menalo L. 7. Morchiladze T. 20. Ndockyt M. 66. Pavic B. 8. Petrovic D. 99. Todorovic A. (G)
Coaches
Sopic Z.	Sanchez V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Akere S. ⚽, Matkovic A. (A),
32', Hasic E. 🟨,
45+1', Radeljic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thaqi D. ↓, Morchiladze T. ↑,
65', Bodetic N. ↓, Ndockyt M. ↑,
65', Gojak A. ↓, Fruk T. ↑,
65', Barisic B. ↓, Colina D. ↑,
65', Omerovic N. ↓, Bukvic D. ↑,
70', Jelenic L. 🟨,
77', Juric A. ↓, Adu Adjei D. ↑,
77', Orec A. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
77', Akere S. ↓, Mersinaj J. ↑,
83', Mikolcic S. ↓, Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↑,
83', Teklic T. ↓, Petrusenko O. ↑,
85', Matkovic A. 🟨,
90+1', Petrusenko O. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 1.

Recent form of Osijek has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rijeka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rijeka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Osijek has had a series of home games.

Rijeka might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Osijek: Farkas N. (Injury) Shopov S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rijeka: Majstorovic A. (Red Card) Skoric M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rijeka: Fruk T. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Rijeka	9	5	2	2	16:12	4	17
5	Osijek	11	5	2	4	19:16	3	17

Last Results with these Odds

Rijeka - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.81%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
25.01.26	Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Osijek	1:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
20.12.25	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Osijek - Gorica	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Osijek - Istra 1961	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTTL
- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
24.01.26	Rijeka - Slaven Belupo	2:2 ✺
20.01.26	Istra 1961 - Rijeka	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Rijeka - Koper	1:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
21.12.25	Rijeka - Gorica	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
27.10.25	Rijeka - Osijek	4:2
09.08.25	Osijek - Rijeka	0:0
23.04.25	Rijeka - Osijek	0:2
16.02.25	Osijek - Rijeka	0:2
10.11.24	Rijeka - Osijek	1:1
25.08.24	Osijek - Rijeka	0:2
19.05.24	Osijek - Rijeka	2:0

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