Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 5

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion an der Bremer Brück (Osnabrück)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Osnabrück		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.75	2.7	Watch
				Watch
	2.28	3.8	2.75
	2.42	4.07	2.71
	2.3	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.36	3.85	2.67	Watch
	2.4	3.8	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.43)	3.78 ↑ (3.64)	2.67 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
39.9%

Draw
24.9%

Elversberg
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

25.9%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

26.3%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Osnabrück - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Osnabrück will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Elversberg will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osnabrück: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grill L. (G) 16. Rorig H. 4. Gyamfi M. (C) 25. Wiemann N. 3. Kleinhansl F. 13. Kunze L. 6. Thalhammer M. 8. Tesche R. 9. Engelhardt E. 10. Wriedt K. O. 11. Makridis C.	20. Kristof N. (G) 23. Sickinger C. 5. Jakel F. 4. Conrad K. (C) 33. Neubauer M. 31. Jacobsen T. 8. Sahin S. 7. Feil M. 21. Stock P. 10. Rochelt J. 24. Schnellbacher L.
Substitutes
5. Ajdini B. 28. Bahr F. 15. Chato P. 17. Conteh C. 26. Gnaase D. 22. Kuhn P. (G) 7. Niemann N. 23. Verhoek J. 32. Wulff J.	35. Antonitsch N. 28. Boss T. (G) 22. Boyamba J. 11. Durholtz L. 29. Faghir W. 9. Martinovic D. 19. Pinckert L. 26. Sicker A. 17. Wanner P.
Coaches
Schweinsteiger T.	Steffen H.

Preview

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Osnabrück could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Osnabrück won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
26.08.23	Hansa Rostock - Osnabrück	2:1 ✺
20.08.23	Osnabrück - Nürnberg	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
14.08.23	Osnabrück - Köln	1:3 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.08.23	Paderborn - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Osnabrück - Karlsruher	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTL
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
26.08.23	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:5 ✺
18.08.23	Kaiserslautern - Elversberg	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
12.08.23	Elversberg - Mainz	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.08.23	Elversberg - Hansa Rostock	1:2 ✺
29.07.23	Hannover - Elversberg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
15.04.23	Osnabrück - Elversberg	1:0
22.10.22	Elversberg - Osnabrück	4:1
05.04.14	Elversberg - Osnabrück	2:2
26.10.13	Osnabrück - Elversberg	0:1

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