Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 26

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion an der Bremer Brück (Osnabrück)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Osnabrück		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.7	2	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.71	3.83	2.02
	3.71	3.83	2.01
	3.4	3.7	1.95	Watch
	3.42	3.82	2.01	Watch
	3.5	3.8	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (3.71)	3.77 ↓ (3.93)	1.99 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
27%

Draw
25.2%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

24.1%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

24.1%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	0%	87%

Osnabrück - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: Fortuna Düsseldorf will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Kuhn P. (G) 2. Androutsos A. 14. Diakhite O. 4. Gyamfi M. (C) 3. Kleinhansl F. 17. Conteh C. 27. Cuisance M. 26. Gnaase D. 13. Kunze L. 11. Makridis C. 9. Engelhardt E.	33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 25. Zimmermann M. 15. Oberdorf T. 20. Siebert J. 34. Gavory N. 6. Engelhardt Y. 4. Tanaka A. 11. Klaus F. 8. Johannesson I. 7. Tzolis C. 36. Mustapha S.
Substitutes
5. Ajdini B. 37. Goiginger T. 1. Grill L. (G) 21. Lobinger L. 7. Niemann N. 8. Tesche R. 25. Wiemann N. 10. Wriedt K. O. 32. Wulff J.	23. Appelkamp S. 22. Daferner C. 3. Hoffmann A. 27. Jastrzembski D. 1. Niemczycki K. (G) 18. Niemiec J. 2. Uchino T. 9. Vermeij V.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Thioune D.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 4).

Recent matches Osnabrück is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortuna is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortuna will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Osnabrück won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
10.03.24	Kaiserslautern - Osnabrück	3:2 ✺
03.03.24	Hamburger SV - Osnabrück	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Osnabrück - Hannover	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Elversberg - Osnabrück	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	Osnabrück - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LWWLT
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
08.03.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Hannover - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hansa Rostock	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
06.10.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Osnabrück	1:1
18.04.21	Osnabrück - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3
16.12.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Osnabrück	3:0

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