Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 24

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hamburger SV		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.25	6.5	Watch
	1.39	5.25	6.75	Watch
	1.38	5	7	Watch
	1.43	5.4	6.4
	1.42	5.58	6.73
	1.35	5	7	Watch
	1.39	5.35	6.9	Watch
	1.36	5.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	5.33 ↑ (5.11)	6.79 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
68.2%

Draw
17.8%

Osnabrück
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

18.4%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

18%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	5.6%	11.1%

Hamburger SV - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Raab M. (G) 22. Van der Brempt I. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 33. Katterbach N. 10. Pherai I. 23. Meffert J. 14. Reis L. 18. Jatta B. 9. Glatzel R. 11. Konigsdorffer R.	22. Kuhn P. (G) 5. Ajdini B. 4. Gyamfi M. (C) 14. Diakhite O. 3. Kleinhansl F. 17. Conteh C. 27. Cuisance M. 26. Gnaase D. 13. Kunze L. 11. Makridis C. 9. Engelhardt E.
Substitutes
27. Dompe J. 1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 3. Heyer M. 20. Nemeth A. 17. Okugawa M. 21. Oztunali L. 6. Poreba L. 13. Ramos G. 36. Suhonen A.	2. Androutsos A. 33. Beermann T. 1. Grill L. (G) 21. Lobinger L. 7. Niemann N. 8. Tesche R. 25. Wiemann N. 10. Wriedt K. O. 32. Wulff J.
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Koschinat U.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Relegation: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hamburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hamburg is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
25.02.24	Hamburger SV - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Hansa Rostock - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
09.02.24	Hamburger SV - Hannover	3:4 ✺
03.02.24	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWL
- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
24.02.24	Osnabrück - Hannover	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Elversberg - Osnabrück	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	Osnabrück - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Nürnberg - Osnabrück	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Osnabrück - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
22.09.23	Osnabrück - Hamburger SV	2:1
16.05.21	Osnabrück - Hamburger SV	3:2
18.01.21	Hamburger SV - Osnabrück	5:0
16.06.20	Hamburger SV - Osnabrück	1:1
29.11.19	Osnabrück - Hamburger SV	2:1
German DFB Pokal
13.08.17	Osnabrück - Hamburger SV	3:1
Club Friendly
26.03.15	Osnabrück - Hamburger SV	0:0

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