Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 12

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Osnabrück		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.8	3.7	2.3	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.9	2.47
	2.8	3.9	2.42
	2.6	3.7	2.25	Watch
	2.7	3.82	2.33	Watch
	2.75	3.7	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.98)	3.74 ↑ (3.63)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
34.5%

Draw
25.3%

Holstein Kiel
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

26%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Osnabrück - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grill L. (G) 14. Diakhite O. 33. Beermann T. 25. Wiemann N. 16. Rorig H. 26. Gnaase D. 27. Cuisance M. 8. Tesche R. 3. Kleinhansl F. 10. Wriedt K. O. 9. Engelhardt E.	1. Weiner T. (G) 17. Becker T. 34. Kleine-Bekel C. 3. Komenda M. 32. Sterner J. 22. Remberg N. 6. Ivezic M. 10. Holtby L. (C) 18. Rothe T. 7. Skrzybski S. 13. Machino S.
Substitutes
28. Bahr F. 17. Conteh C. 4. Gyamfi M. 18. Kehl L. 22. Kuhn P. (G) 13. Kunze L. 7. Niemann N. 6. Thalhammer M. 32. Wulff J.	20. Arp J.-F. 31. Engelhardt M. (G) 27. Mees J. 9. Pichler B. 8. Porath F. 23. Rosenboom L. 41. Rothenhagen L. (G) 15. Schulz M. 11. Simakala B.
Coaches
Schweinsteiger T.	Rapp M.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 3.

Recent matches Osnabrück is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Holstein Kiel is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Holstein Kiel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Holstein Kiel have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Osnabrück won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
27.10.23	Greuther Fürth - Osnabrück	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Osnabrück - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.10.23	Emmen - Osnabrück	2:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
06.10.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Osnabrück - Kaiserslautern	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLWTT
- Holstein Kiel
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg	3:4 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
29.10.23	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Hansa Rostock - Holstein Kiel	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.10.23	Holstein Kiel - AGF Aarhus	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.10.23	Holstein Kiel - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.01.23	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	5:3
German 2 Bundesliga
24.04.21	Osnabrück - Holstein Kiel	1:3
03.01.21	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	1:2
21.06.20	Osnabrück - Holstein Kiel	4:1
07.12.19	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	2:4
German 3 Bundesliga
10.03.17	Osnabrück - Holstein Kiel	2:1
16.09.16	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	0:1

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