Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball


	Holstein Kiel		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.15
	3.1	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.26	3.7	2.23
	3.44	3.64	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.26	3.72	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.18)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)	2.12 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
29.4%

Draw
26.2%

Elversberg
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

26.1%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25.9%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Holstein Kiel aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	4.8%	90.5%

Holstein Kiel - Elversberg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.25 - Holstein Kiel (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elversberg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 20%). Elversberg (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiner T. (G) 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 6. Ivezic M. 47. Tolkin J. 16. Kelati A. 28. Meffert J. (C) 8. Tohumcu U. 20. Kapralik A. 19. Harres P. 10. Therkelsen J.	20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 2. Mickelson N. 6. Conde A. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 22. Pherai I. 29. Zimmerschied T. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.
Substitutes
11. Bernhardsson A. 15. Davidsen K. 3. Komenda M. 21. Krumrey J. (G) 25. Muller M. 29. Niehoff N. 23. Rosenboom L. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S.	15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 21. Gunther L. 43. Keidel F. 3. Le Joncour F. 14. Malanga J. 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L. 23. Sickinger C.
Coaches
Walter T.	Wagner V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Nekic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Pherai I. ↓, Gunther L. ↑,
59', Mickelson N. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽, Gunther L. (A),
63', 1 - 1, Therkelsen J. ⚽,
71', Kelati A. ↓, Bernhardsson A. ↑,
73', Gyamerah J. ↓, Keidel F. ↑,
73', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
79', Tohumcu U. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
79', Kapralik A. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
80', Ivezic M. 🟨,
84', Keidel F. 🟨,
86', Conde A. 🟨,
89', Harres P. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
90+2', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

Holstein Kiel has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Elversberg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Elversberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Skrzybski S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Elversberg will win today's game, with odds of 2.15.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Holstein Kiel: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Elversberg - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 44.17%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
21.02.26	Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Hannover - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
31.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
21.02.26	Elversberg - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Kaiserslautern - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Elversberg - Bochum	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
27.09.25	Elversberg - Holstein Kiel	1:0
16.03.24	Elversberg - Holstein Kiel	0:2
08.10.23	Holstein Kiel - Elversberg	1:1
German 3 Bundesliga
22.03.14	Elversberg - Holstein Kiel	0:0
28.09.13	Holstein Kiel - Elversberg	1:2

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