Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 34

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion an der Bremer Brück (Osnabrück)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Osnabrück		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	8.5
	1.32	5.25	8.5
	1.33	4.75	8
	1.31	5.68	10.37
	1.24	5	9.5
	1.29	5.4	8.7	Watch
	1.28	5	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.61)	5.19 ↑ (4)	8.82 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
71.6%

Draw
17.9%

Zwickau
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23.1%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osnabrück's performance.

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zwickau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osnabrück that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zwickau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Osnabrück - Zwickau Predictions

Users Predictions: Osnabrück will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 3.

Recent matches Osnabrück is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zwickau is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Osnabrück is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Osnabrück won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
21.04.23	Hallescher - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Osnabrück - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	1860 München - Osnabrück	3:0 ✺
02.04.23	Osnabrück - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Osnabrück	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLW
- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
23.04.23	Zwickau - Rot-Weiß Essen	RW Essen awarded ✺
16.04.23	Freiburg II - Zwickau	4:0 ✺
09.04.23	Zwickau - Saarbrücken	2:2 ✺
01.04.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Zwickau	4:3 ✺
26.03.23	Zwickau - Ingolstadt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 ?LTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
06.11.22	Zwickau - Osnabrück	4:3
13.03.22	Zwickau - Osnabrück	1:3
02.10.21	Osnabrück - Zwickau	0:1
09.03.19	Osnabrück - Zwickau	3:0
23.09.18	Zwickau - Osnabrück	0:1
08.04.18	Zwickau - Osnabrück	1:1
28.10.17	Osnabrück - Zwickau	4:0

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