Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 29

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau)

Referee: Greif S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Zwickau		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.5
	2.65	3.3	2.5
	2.65	3.3	2.45
	2.65	3.25	2.4
	2.87	3.51	2.5
	2.62	3.1	2.45
	2.7	3.45	2.41	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.65)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	2.45 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zwickau
34%

Draw
28.1%

Ingolstadt
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

26.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	21.1%	57.9%

Zwickau - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Zwickau will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Zwickau is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ingolstadt has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ingolstadt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Zwickau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
19.03.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Zwickau	4:0 ✺
14.03.23	Zwickau - Erzgebirge Aue	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Viktoria Köln - Zwickau	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Zwickau - Verl	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Bayreuth - Zwickau	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTWL
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
20.03.23	Ingolstadt - Dynamo Dresden	2:3 ✺
15.03.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt	3:2 ✺
12.03.23	Ingolstadt - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
04.03.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ingolstadt	4:1 ✺
25.02.23	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
03.10.22	Ingolstadt - Zwickau	0:0
24.04.21	Ingolstadt - Zwickau	3:2
13.01.21	Zwickau - Ingolstadt	0:2
21.06.20	Zwickau - Ingolstadt	0:3
09.11.19	Ingolstadt - Zwickau	4:2

Upcoming Matches