Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 30

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Schultes T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.58	4.1	5.25
	1.5	4.3	5.2
	1.57	4.39	5.82
	1.52	3.8	5.25
	1.53	4.25	5.35	Watch
	1.51	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)	4.08 ↑ (3.84)	5.37 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
60.3%

Draw
22.6%

Zwickau
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

19.8%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wehen Wiesbaden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Zwickau Predictions

Users Predictions: Wehen Wiesbaden will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wehen won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Wehen is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Wehen won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Wehen won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 3 Bundesliga
25.03.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:3 ✺
18.03.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Waldhof Mannheim	3:0 ✺
15.03.23	Freiburg II - Wehen Wiesbaden	4:2 ✺
12.03.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Saarbrücken	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ingolstadt	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW
- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
26.03.23	Zwickau - Ingolstadt	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Zwickau	4:0 ✺
14.03.23	Zwickau - Erzgebirge Aue	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Viktoria Köln - Zwickau	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Zwickau - Verl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.10.22	Zwickau - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1
16.04.22	Zwickau - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:1
07.11.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Zwickau	2:2
21.03.21	Zwickau - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:1
14.11.20	Wehen Wiesbaden - Zwickau	3:1
06.04.19	Zwickau - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:1
27.10.18	Wehen Wiesbaden - Zwickau	0:0

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