Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 31

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Zwickau		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.8
	4.2	3.6	1.8
	4.1	3.7	1.75
	4.43	3.8	1.83
	4	3.3	1.78
	4.05	3.75	1.78	Watch
	4	3.4	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.89)	3.58 ↓ (3.67)	1.79 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwickau
22.4%

Draw
25.9%

Saarbrücken
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.2%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

24.8%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Zwickau - Saarbrücken Predictions

Users Predictions: Saarbrücken will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Zwickau is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saarbrücken is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Saarbrücken could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Saarbrücken is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Zwickau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
01.04.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Zwickau	4:3 ✺
26.03.23	Zwickau - Ingolstadt	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Zwickau	4:0 ✺
14.03.23	Zwickau - Erzgebirge Aue	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Viktoria Köln - Zwickau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLT
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
02.04.23	Saarbrücken - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
27.03.23	Freiburg II - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:0 ✺
15.03.23	Saarbrücken - Bayreuth	5:0 ✺
12.03.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Saarbrücken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
15.10.22	Saarbrücken - Zwickau	3:2
07.05.22	Saarbrücken - Zwickau	1:1
03.12.21	Zwickau - Saarbrücken	1:2
22.05.21	Zwickau - Saarbrücken	2:0
10.03.21	Saarbrücken - Zwickau	1:2

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