Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 28

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion an der Bremer Brück (Osnabrück)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Osnabrück		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.1	3.5	3.2
	2	3.65	3.2
	2.1	3.35	3.15
	2.2	3.75	3.19
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.13	3.54	3.1	Watch
	2.13	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.25)	3.44 ↑ (3.18)	3.13 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
43.8%

Draw
26.8%

Freiburg II
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.9%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

30.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Osnabrück - Freiburg II Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Osnabrück will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Freiburg II will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osnabrück: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Osnabrück is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Freiburg II in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Osnabrück could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Osnabrück will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Osnabrück won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
14.03.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Osnabrück - Oldenburg	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Saarbrücken - Osnabrück	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Osnabrück - Wehen Wiesbaden	4:1 ✺
18.02.23	Osnabrück - Bayreuth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWWL
- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
15.03.23	Freiburg II - Wehen Wiesbaden	4:2 ✺
12.03.23	Ingolstadt - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
03.03.23	Freiburg II - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0 ✺
27.02.23	Viktoria Köln - Freiburg II	0:3 ✺
18.02.23	Freiburg II - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
18.09.22	Freiburg II - Osnabrück	1:1
30.04.22	Freiburg II - Osnabrück	4:1
28.11.21	Osnabrück - Freiburg II	0:1

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