Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Termoli		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.02
	2.99	3.46	2.13	Watch
	3.03	3.26	2.15
	3.1	3.25	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.63)	3.29 ↓ (3.44)	2.11 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termoli
29.4%

Draw
27.5%

Ostia Mare
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

26.4%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

27%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Termoli's form might have worsened.

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Termoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Termoli - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Vianni S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In recent matches, Termoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ostia Mare is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ostia Mare will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
07.12.25	Notaresco - Termoli	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Termoli - Teramo	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sammaurese - Termoli	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Termoli - Sora	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Fossombrone - Termoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWTL
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
07.12.25	L Aquila - Ostia Mare	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ostia Mare - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Chieti - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Ostia Mare - Sammaurese	7:0 ✺
09.11.25	UniPomezia - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWWW

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