Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Guido Angelini (Chieti)


	Chieti		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	8.79	4.77	1.30	Watch
	5.06	3.94	1.54
	6.6	4.5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.82 ↑ (6.6)	4.4 ↓ (4.5)	1.41 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chieti
13.5%

Draw
20.9%

Ostia Mare
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

20.2%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

19.6%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Chieti - Ostia Mare Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostia Mare (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Chieti is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ostia Mare is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Ostia Mare is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chieti Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.11.25	Recanatese - Chieti	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Chieti - Castelfidardo	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	San Marino Calcio - Chieti	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Chieti - Atletico Ascoli	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Termoli - Chieti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.11.25	Ostia Mare - Sammaurese	7:0 ✺
09.11.25	UniPomezia - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ostia Mare - Teramo	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Castelfidardo - Ostia Mare	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Ostia Mare - Fossombrone	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTWW

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