Match Info

National League North - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)


	Oxford City		Fylde

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.53
	5.15	4.25	1.5
	5.64	4.38	1.51
	5.07	4.31	1.56	Watch
	5	4	1.53
	5.38	3.98	1.51
	5.33	4.25	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↑ (4.53)	4.17 ↑ (3.93)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
17.6%

Draw
22%

Fylde
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

23.1%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

22.5%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Oxford City - Fylde Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oxford City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Clark E. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Oxford City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fylde is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Fylde is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Oxford City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 2:4).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Oxford City: 5.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oxford City	10	6	2	2	18:7	11	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
17.01.26	Macclesfield Town - Oxford City	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Oxford City - Buxton	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Peterborough Sports - Oxford City	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Oxford City - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWTLT
- AFC Fylde
English National League North
17.01.26	Fylde - Scarborough Athletic	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Hereford - Fylde	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League North
03.01.26	Bedford Town - Fylde	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Radcliffe - Fylde	3:3 ✺
26.12.25	Fylde - Chorley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.08.25	Fylde - Oxford City	3:2
English National League
23.03.24	Fylde - Oxford City	2:1
07.10.23	Oxford City - Fylde	3:0
English National League North
17.01.15	Fylde - Oxford City	2:1
06.09.14	Oxford City - Fylde	1:8

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