Match Info

National League North - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Mounting Systems Stadium (Bridlington)


	Scarborough Athletic		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	3.8
	1.75	3.75	3.9
	1.84	3.89	4.05
	1.25	5.46	11.04	Watch
	1.73	3.84	4.11
	1.85	3.65	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)	4.06 ↑ (3.7)	5.08 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
57%

Draw
23.9%

Oxford City
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Scarborough Athletic's performance.

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oxford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Scarborough Athletic - Oxford City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Scarborough (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Thornton W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).

Scarborough is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oxford City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oxford City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Scarborough is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarborough won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Ashton United - Scarborough Athletic	2:0 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Chester - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Merthyr Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWWW
- Oxford City
English National League North
06.09.25	Buxton - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Oxford City - Alfreton Town	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Oxford City - Radcliffe	1:5 ✺
25.08.25	Chester - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Oxford City - Spennymoor Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.03.25	Scarborough Athletic - Oxford City	0:0
09.11.24	Oxford City - Scarborough Athletic	1:1
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Oxford City - Scarborough Athletic	2:3
14.10.23	Scarborough Athletic - Oxford City	2:2

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