Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	Oxford City		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.75
	2.12	3.45	2.88
	2.24	3.35	2.8
	2.3	3.5	2.96
	2.55	3.3	2.45
	2.24	3.4	2.84
	2.24	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.72)	3.38 ↑ (3.35)	2.78 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
40.2%

Draw
27%

Bath City
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.1%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford City's performance.

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bath City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bath City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Oxford City - Bath City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford City: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 3.

Recent matches Oxford City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bath is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bath could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Oxford City have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League South
12.09.22	Chelmsford City - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
06.09.22	Chippenham Town - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Welling United - Oxford City	5:0 ✺
29.08.22	Oxford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Weymouth - Oxford City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWW
- Bath City
English FA Cup
20.09.22	Hartley Wintney - Bath City	0:1 ET ✺
17.09.22	Bath City - Hartley Wintney	2:2 ✺
English National League South
13.09.22	Bath City - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Bath City - Slough Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.05.22	Bath City - Oxford City	3:3
30.08.21	Oxford City - Bath City	5:1
06.10.20	Oxford City - Bath City	2:0
26.08.19	Bath City - Oxford City	1:2
22.04.19	Bath City - Oxford City	1:0
15.09.18	Oxford City - Bath City	1:2
27.01.18	Oxford City - Bath City	1:1

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