Match Info

Date: 12 September 2022, Monday


	Chelmsford City		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.55
	2.23	3.5	2.65
	2.29	3.4	2.7
	2.45	3.67	2.65
	2.42	3.5	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.32)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	2.62 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
38.9%

Draw
26.2%

Oxford City
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

27.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Chelmsford City - Oxford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chelmsford will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Oxford City will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelmsford won 0.

Chelmsford is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Oxford City is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oxford City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Chelmsford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Chelmsford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
03.09.22	Chelmsford City - Havant & Waterlooville	3:4 ✺
29.08.22	Chelmsford City - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Welling United - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
23.08.22	Chippenham Town - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Chelmsford City - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWTW
- Oxford City
English National League South
06.09.22	Chippenham Town - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Welling United - Oxford City	5:0 ✺
29.08.22	Oxford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Weymouth - Oxford City	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Oxford City - Concord Rangers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.02.22	Chelmsford City - Oxford City	1:2
23.10.21	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	1:1
13.02.21	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	4:1
10.10.20	Chelmsford City - Oxford City	1:1
16.11.19	Chelmsford City - Oxford City	2:6
30.03.19	Chelmsford City - Oxford City	2:1
English FA Trophy
24.11.18	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	4:0

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