Match Info

National League North - Round 32

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)


	Oxford City		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.8
	2.22	3.5	2.78
	1.93	3.92	3.28	Watch
	2.26	3.59	2.88
	2.22	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.93)	3.62 ↓ (3.92)	2.9 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
42.6%

Draw
25.5%

Bedford Town
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

23.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

24.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oxford City's form might have worsened.

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Oxford City - Bedford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Tripp C. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Ashby J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 1 - 2, Phillips J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Oxford City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bedford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oxford City might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oxford City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
25.10.25	Oxford City - Leamington	1:1 ✺
21.10.25	Bedford Town - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Oxford City - Southport	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Chorley - Oxford City	3:3 ✺
04.10.25	Oxford City - Curzon Ashton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLTL
- Bedford Town
English National League North
25.10.25	Chester - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Bedford Town - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Radcliffe - Bedford Town	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Worksop Town - Bedford Town	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bedford Town - Spennymoor Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.10.25	Bedford Town - Oxford City	1:0

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