Match Info

National League North - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)


	Oxford City		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.9
	2.1	3.3	2.85
	2.2	3.35	2.92
	2.33	3.42	2.92
	6.61	3.95	1.49	Watch
	2.19	3.46	2.99
	2.19	3.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.47)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	2.71 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Oxford City
35%

Draw
28.5%

Curzon Ashton
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.9%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Oxford City - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Curzon Ashton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Weston T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Clark E. ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Darby B. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Oxford City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Curzon Ashton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Curzon Ashton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oxford City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Including home match between the teams, Oxford City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
20.09.25	Scarborough Athletic - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Buxton - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Oxford City - Alfreton Town	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Oxford City - Radcliffe	1:5 ✺
25.08.25	Chester - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- Curzon Ashton
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Chester - Curzon Ashton	5:1 ✺
English National League North
20.09.25	Curzon Ashton - South Shields	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Curzon Ashton - Hebburn Town	4:1 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Bedford Town - Curzon Ashton	2:2 ✺
02.09.25	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.01.25	Oxford City - Curzon Ashton	0:5
20.08.24	Curzon Ashton - Oxford City	1:0

Upcoming Matches