Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 24

Date: 13 December 2022, Tuesday


	Oxford City		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.8
	1.54	3.85	4.9
	1.59	3.9	4.7
	1.56	4.12	5.09
	1.57	3.6	5.25
	1.55	3.94	5.15
	1.59	3.9	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.76)	3.87 ↑ (3.46)	4.94 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
58.1%

Draw
23.5%

Chippenham Town
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.9%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford City's performance.

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	6.9%	10.3%

Oxford City - Chippenham Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Oxford City will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 0.

Recent matches Oxford City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chippenham is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chippenham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chippenham have a series of guest games.

In this match Oxford City is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League South
10.12.22	Eastbourne Borough - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
06.12.22	Braintree Town - Oxford City	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Oxford City - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2 ✺
26.11.22	Cheshunt - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
22.11.22	Oxford City - Dartford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTWT
- Chippenham Town
English National League South
03.12.22	Eastbourne Borough - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
27.11.22	Burton Albion - Chippenham Town	6:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Hastings United - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
English National League South
15.11.22	Chippenham Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:3 ✺
12.11.22	Dover Athletic - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.09.22	Chippenham Town - Oxford City	1:0
18.04.22	Chippenham Town - Oxford City	1:0
11.12.21	Oxford City - Chippenham Town	1:1
17.11.20	Oxford City - Chippenham Town	1:1
07.03.20	Oxford City - Chippenham Town	1:3
06.08.19	Chippenham Town - Oxford City	1:1
02.03.19	Chippenham Town - Oxford City	0:1

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