Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday


	Oxford City		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.55
	4.75	4.2	1.6	Watch
	5.13	4.45	1.59
	4	3.6	1.67
	4.95	4.2	1.56
	4.5	4.2	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (3.83)	4.11 ↑ (3.9)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
19.6%

Draw
22.5%

Gateshead
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

23.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

23.7%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gateshead's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gateshead, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Oxford City - Gateshead Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Gateshead will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gateshead: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Haigh Ch. (G) 2. Burley A. 19. Carroll C. 7. Coyle L. 8. Fleet R. (C) 17. Fonkeu P. 5. Kirby N. 3. Miccio L. 22. Moore T. 14. Parker J. 16. Potter A.	1. Mair A. (G) 3. Booty R. 9. Dinanga M. 8. Francis E. 18. Grayson J. 19. Hannant L. 28. Lofthouse K. 10. Olley G. 5. Richardson K. 2. Tinkler R. 11. Wearne S.
Substitutes
6. Harrison T. 10. McEachran Z. 9. Sanderson O. 15. Smith R. 18. William-Bushell A.	23. Chadwick B. 15. Hunter J. 21. McBride C. 16. Rutledge A. 6. Storey L.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Oxford City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gateshead is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Gateshead is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League
23.09.23	Oldham Athletic - Oxford City	4:0 ✺
19.09.23	Eastleigh - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Oxford City - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Oxford City - Hartlepool United	5:2 ✺
02.09.23	Solihull Moors - Oxford City	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LTTWT
- Gateshead
English National League
23.09.23	Gateshead - Maidenhead United	3:0 ✺
19.09.23	Gateshead - Kidderminster Harriers	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Aldershot Town - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Eastleigh - Gateshead	0:6 ✺
02.09.23	Gateshead - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWT

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