Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)


	Oldham Athletic		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	8
	1.42	4.5	7
	1.44	4.75	6.92
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.4	4.55	6.75
	1.4	4.5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.74)	4.38 ↑ (3.71)	6.76 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
65.1%

Draw
21.2%

Oxford City
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

26.3%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oldham Athletic's performance.

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oxford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldham Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oxford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Oldham Athletic - Oxford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Oxford City will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hudson M. (G) 22. Dickenson B. 19. Gardner D. 15. Green D. 5. Hobson S. 4. Hogan L. (C) 3. Kitching M. 30. Norwood J. 10. Nuttall J. 14. Sheron N. 21. Sutton W.	1. Haigh Ch. (G) 2. Burley A. 19. Carroll C. 7. Coyle L. 8. Fleet R. (C) 20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 10. McEachran Z. 3. Miccio L. 22. Moore T. 9. Sanderson O. 18. William-Bushell A.
Substitutes
20. Hope H. 1. Norman M. (G) 25. Reid A. 6. Shelton M. 7. Willoughby K.	17. Fonkeu P. 6. Harrison T. 14. Parker J. 16. Potter A. 21. Wilson J.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 14).

Recent matches Oldham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oxford City is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Oldham is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English National League
19.09.23	Oldham Athletic - York City	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Bromley - Oldham Athletic	3:0 ✺
09.09.23	Oldham Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Gateshead - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
28.08.23	Oldham Athletic - Solihull Moors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTTL
- Oxford City
English National League
19.09.23	Eastleigh - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Oxford City - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Oxford City - Hartlepool United	5:2 ✺
02.09.23	Solihull Moors - Oxford City	3:3 ✺
28.08.23	Oxford City - Boreham Wood	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TTWTW

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