Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 16

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday


	Welling United		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.95
	1.81	3.45	3.7
	2.23	3.25	2.9
	2.12	3.31	3.29
	2.25	3.2	2.9
	2.23	3.34	2.9
	2.25	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.18)	3.31 ↑ (3.21)	3.08 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
42.7%

Draw
27.6%

Hungerford Town
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Welling United - Hungerford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Welling could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Welling have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Welling won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
25.10.22	Braintree Town - Welling United	4:1 ✺
22.10.22	Ebbsfleet United - Welling United	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Welling United - St Albans City	0:3 ✺
08.10.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Weymouth - Welling United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLTL
- Hungerford Town
English National League South
25.10.22	Hungerford Town - Cheshunt	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Bath City - Hungerford Town	2:3 ✺
01.10.22	Dartford - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
27.09.22	Hungerford Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.04.22	Hungerford Town - Welling United	1:2
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Hungerford Town - Welling United	3:2
English National League South
21.08.21	Welling United - Hungerford Town	1:4
18.01.20	Welling United - Hungerford Town	3:2
28.09.19	Hungerford Town - Welling United	1:2
23.02.19	Hungerford Town - Welling United	0:1
01.12.18	Welling United - Hungerford Town	3:1

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