The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oxford City 23.8%
Draw 26%
Kidderminster Harriers 50.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.8%
22.3%
59.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.3%
21.7%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford City's performance.
Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kidderminster Harriers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kidderminster Harriers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oxford City - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Donnelly K. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Ashby J. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Obi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 2, Campton-Sturridge D. ⚽,
70', 3 - 2, Ellis O. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Oxford City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kidderminster has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Oxford City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Kidderminster is a strong favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford City won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Oxford City won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Oxford City: 5.6%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Oxford City
10
6
2
2
18:7
11
20
Last Results with these Odds
Oxford City - the odds 5.2 are the expected chance of winning is 17.84%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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