The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Buxton 30.7%
Draw 26.8%
Kidderminster Harriers 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
25.7%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
25.5%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Buxton - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Thompson S. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Johnston J. ⚽,
45+7', 1 - 2, Reynolds R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 1 - 3, Morgan-Smith A. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 0.
Buxton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kidderminster has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Kidderminster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kidderminster has had a series of home games.
Kidderminster could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Buxton won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Buxton: 4.86%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Buxton
10
5
1
4
18:18
0
16
Last Results with these Odds
Buxton - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.63%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Kidderminster Harriers - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.64%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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