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Current Win Probability
Marine 32.1%
Draw 27.2%
Oxford City 40.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.9%
27.9%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.8%
28.8%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marine than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Marine - Oxford City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Brown E. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Darby B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Abankwah I. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 16th and 3rd in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Semi - finals).
Each of the two teams has built an impressive run of consecutive wins.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Marine has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 0.8:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Marine against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).